Tropical Storm Osai Track Map & Archive

Dissipated

Local time · Active from 05 Feb 2024 12:00 GMT-12 to 08 Feb 2024 13:00 GMT-11

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Estimated Storm Impact Analysis

Real-time analysis of population and infrastructure exposure within the storm's wind field.

Radius: ~600 km
👥 Estimated Population at Risk
13.84Mpeople
🏥 Hospitals & Medical Centers
252facilities
🏕️ Evacuation Shelters & Centers
769centers
🏫 Schools & Critical Infrastructure
1846buildings
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AI Historical Storm Matches

Compare historical storms by track, pressure changes, and rapid intensification patterns.

AI Trajectory Match
Paul96% Similarity Score
MAX: 90 m/s
MIN: 994 hPa
Rapid Intensification Risk:High Risk
View Historical Storm Track
Hale96% Similarity Score
MAX: 86 m/s
MIN: 991 hPa
Rapid Intensification Risk:High Risk
View Historical Storm Track
Nat86% Similarity Score
MAX: 97 m/s
MIN: 990 hPa
Rapid Intensification Risk:High Risk
View Historical Storm Track

Basic Information

Peak Category

Tropical Depression

Minimum Pressure

993 hPa

Maximum Wind Speed

86 km/h

Region

West Pacific

Key Events

Formation

05 Feb 2024 12:00 GMT-12

-9.0°N, -176.0°E

Dissipation

08 Feb 2024 13:00 GMT-11

-18.8°N, -163.7°E

Frequently Asked Questions about Osai

No, Osai is no longer active. It dissipated or transitioned into an extratropical cyclone on 2024-02-09T00:00:00.000Z.
Osai formed on 2024-02-06T00:00:00.000Z and dissipated on 2024-02-09T00:00:00.000Z, reaching a peak intensity of tropical_depression.

Storm Timeline

Osai at 18.8°S, 163.7°W as Tropical Depression with winds of 36 km/h (22 mph)

Osai at 18.7°S, 163.5°W as Tropical Depression with winds of 40 km/h (25 mph)

Osai at 18.7°S, 163.3°W as Tropical Depression with winds of 43 km/h (27 mph)

Osai at 18.8°S, 163.2°W as Tropical Depression with winds of 43 km/h (27 mph)

Osai at 18.8°S, 163.3°W as Tropical Depression with winds of 43 km/h (27 mph)

Osai at 18.5°S, 163.6°W as Tropical Depression with winds of 50 km/h (31 mph)

Osai at 18.1°S, 164.0°W as Tropical Depression with winds of 54 km/h (34 mph)

Osai at 17.9°S, 164.3°W as Tropical Depression with winds of 61 km/h (38 mph)

Osai at 17.7°S, 164.6°W as Tropical Storm with winds of 65 km/h (40 mph)

Osai at 17.6°S, 164.8°W as Tropical Storm with winds of 72 km/h (45 mph)

Second South Pacific Cyclone in a Week, Osai Fades Without Major Landfall

Tropical Cyclone Osai formed in the South Pacific on 6 February 2024 as the second named cyclone in the basin within one week of activity. The Fiji Meteorological Service (FMS), operating as the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) Nadi, classified Osai as a Category 1 Tropical Cyclone during its peak phase. Osai reached maximum sustained winds of 50–51 knots, approximately 93 km/h, with a minimum central pressure of 992 hPa near 7 February 18:00 UTC. The cyclone remained offshore and produced no documented major land impacts across the South Pacific island region.

From Disturbance to Named Storm: Osai Takes Shape Near the Samoan Islands

Tropical Cyclone Osai developed from a tropical disturbance in the South Pacific near 9.0°S, 176.0°W on 6 February 2024. The system formed in an area of warm tropical waters where sufficient moisture and atmospheric instability supported the gradual organization of a closed circulation.

The early stages of Osai were monitored through regional forecasting networks, with RSMC Nadi in Fiji responsible for official tropical cyclone analysis and warnings in the Southwest Pacific region. The Fiji Meteorological Service applies the Category 1–5 tropical cyclone intensity system for storms that reach cyclone strength within its warning area.

Initial analysis showed Osai strengthening from a tropical depression during 6 February. At 06:00 UTC, the system had winds near 25 knots and a central pressure around 1005 hPa. By 12:00 UTC, winds increased to approximately 30 knots as pressure fell to near 1000 hPa.

The system reached tropical cyclone classification later on 6 February as its circulation became better organized. RSMC Nadi identified Osai as a developing tropical cyclone while it moved southeastward through the South Pacific. The storm’s position remained well away from major island groups, reducing the likelihood of direct impacts despite its rapid transition into a named system.

Osai became the second tropical cyclone of the week in the South Pacific basin, following another period of active tropical development in the region. However, unlike stronger systems that have affected Fiji, Vanuatu, Samoa, and other Pacific island nations, Osai remained over open waters throughout its lifecycle.

Category 1 Strength Achieved Briefly Before Environmental Shift

Osai reached its strongest intensity near 17.4°S, 165.0°W on 7 February 2024. Around 18:00 UTC, the cyclone reached Category 1 Tropical Cyclone strength under the Fiji Meteorological Service classification, with maximum sustained winds of 50–51 knots and a minimum central pressure of approximately 992 hPa.

The cyclone’s peak represented a short period of organization as its central circulation became stronger. Before reaching this intensity, Osai experienced fluctuations in strength, briefly weakening and then rebuilding during 7 February. The storm’s peak winds were approximately 93 km/h, placing it at the lowest level of the South Pacific Category 1 classification.

After reaching maximum intensity, Osai began weakening as atmospheric conditions became less favorable. Changes in surrounding wind patterns and reduced support for deep convection contributed to the decline in organization around the cyclone center.

RSMC Nadi’s monitoring showed that Osai never developed into a severe tropical cyclone. The system did not reach Category 2 or higher intensity, and its strongest phase remained brief. The cyclone’s movement across the central South Pacific kept it distant from populated islands, and no major warnings for destructive impacts were issued.

The Fiji Meteorological Service continued tracking Osai through its weakening stage, using satellite observations, numerical guidance, and regional analysis methods consistent with South Pacific tropical cyclone forecasting procedures.

Downgraded to Depression: Osai’s Final Hours Over Open Water

Following its Category 1 peak, Osai entered a weakening phase on 8 February 2024. The cyclone moved southeastward while its wind field weakened and its central pressure gradually increased. By early 8 February, the system had declined from tropical cyclone intensity to a tropical depression.

At 00:00 UTC on 8 February, Osai was located near 17.7°S, 164.6°W, with winds reduced to around 35 knots and pressure near 995 hPa. Later observations showed further weakening, with the system losing the organized structure required to maintain tropical cyclone status.

By 12:00 UTC on 8 February, Osai had weakened significantly near 18.8°S, 163.3°W. Wind speeds had decreased to approximately 25 knots, and the central pressure had risen to around 999 hPa. Some datasets list the final stages slightly differently, with certain analyses extending the system’s remnants into 9 February, but the main operational lifecycle ended during 8 February.

The cyclone dissipated over the South Pacific without making landfall or generating documented major damage. No significant reports of destructive winds, storm surge, or widespread flooding were associated with Osai in Pacific island communities.

The final analyzed track placed Osai between approximately 9°S and 19°S latitude and 164°W to 176°W longitude, keeping the entire system within the South Pacific basin under RSMC Nadi’s monitoring responsibility. RSMC Nadi’s final advisory placed the remnant low near 18.8°S, 163.7°W before it dissipated over open waters on 8 February.